Question 1

What is TruthPesa?

Accepted Answer

TruthPesa is a prediction market built for Kenya. You trade shares on the outcomes of real-world events in Kenyan politics, football, crypto, the economy and more, and the price of each share shows the chance traders give that outcome.

Question 2

What is a prediction market?

Accepted Answer

A prediction market is a market where people buy and sell shares in the outcome of a future event. Each share pays $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it does not, so a share trading at 65 cents means traders see roughly a 65% chance.

Question 3

Can I use TruthPesa in Kenya?

Accepted Answer

Yes. TruthPesa is made for Kenyan traders: you sign up with your Kenyan phone number, and you deposit and withdraw with M-Pesa.

Question 4

How do I deposit and withdraw on TruthPesa?

Accepted Answer

Deposits go through an M-Pesa STK push to your registered phone. Withdrawals are paid to the same M-Pesa number after a short review.

Question 5

What can I predict on TruthPesa?

Accepted Answer

Markets cover Kenyan and world politics, football and other sports, crypto prices, the economy, culture and more. Use the category tabs to browse each topic.

Question 6

How do prediction market odds work?

Accepted Answer

Every outcome is priced between 1 and 99 cents. The price is the market's implied probability, and it moves as traders buy and sell in response to news.

Question 7

How are markets resolved?

Accepted Answer

Each market publishes its resolution rules and sources. When the result is confirmed, the market resolves and every winning share pays $1.

Question 8

How do I start trading on TruthPesa?

Accepted Answer

Create an account with your phone number, deposit with M-Pesa, open a market and choose the outcome you want to trade. You can sell before the market resolves or hold your shares until it does.

Will Kenya qualify for AFCON 2027?

Which teams will qualify for the 2026 World Cup from Africa?

All markets

Which teams will qualify for the 2026 World Cup from Africa?

Will Gor Mahia win the KPL title in 2026?

Will Kenya Sevens win a 2026 HSBC SVNS Series event?

Which teams will reach the Safari Sevens 2026 final?

Who will win the 2026 Masters Tournament?

Who will win the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix?

Will Eliud Kipchoge run another official marathon in 2026?

Will a Kenyan win the 2026 Boston Marathon?

Will Kenya win a gold medal at the 2026 Commonwealth Games?

Will Bitcoin exceed $150,000 by end of 2026?

Which crypto will have the highest returns in 2026?

Will Ethereum ETF inflows exceed $10B in 2026?

Will KES/USD exchange rate exceed 150 by Dec 2026?

Will M-Pesa process over 20 billion transactions in 2026?

Will the NSE 20 Share Index close above 2,000 in 2026?

Which East African nations will join the AfCFTA fast-track?

Will the East African Federation be formally established by 2028?

Will a new US-Africa trade agreement replace AGOA by 2027?

Will Safaricom report revenue above KES 400B for FY2026?

Which Kenyan banks will exceed KES 50B profit in 2026?

Will Equity Group's share price exceed KES 60 in 2026?

Which Kenyan tech startup will reach unicorn status next?

Will Kenya adopt a digital national ID by end of 2026?

Will Konza Technopolis attract 50+ registered companies by 2027?

Will a Kenyan artist win a Grammy by 2028?

Which Kenyan musicians will surpass 1B Spotify streams by 2027?

Will the Nairobi Film Festival attract over 50,000 attendees in 2026?

Will the SGR be extended to Kisumu by 2028?

Will the Lamu Port (LAPSSET) become fully operational by 2027?

Which African cities will host major international summits in 2027?

Will Kenya's GDP growth exceed 6% in 2026?

Will Kenya's inflation rate stay below 7% throughout 2026?

Which counties will have the highest youth unemployment drop in 2026?

Will Nairobi host the Africa Climate Summit again in 2027?

Will Kenya achieve 80% renewable energy capacity by 2027?

Will Kenya qualify for AFCON 2027?

TruthPesa: Kenya's prediction market

Frequently Asked Questions